World News: Alaska Senate Race 2010: Three-Way Senate Fight Raging With Unpredictability Ahead Of Election

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The Huffington Post | Elyse SiegelPosted: 11- 1-10 10:13 AM

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Read More:Alaska Senate 2010, Alaska Senate Election, Alaska Senate Polls, Alaska Senate Race, Alaska Senate Race Poll, Elections 2010, Joe Miller, Lisa Murkowski, Scott Mcadams, Politics News Alaska Senate Race 2010

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Alaska's three-way Senate fight has quickly become one of the hottest showdowns to watch of the races set to be decided on Tuesday. Since the state's August primary when Tea Party-backed Joe Miller swiped the state's Republican nomination from incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski -- who is now making a write-in campaign -- the race between the two contenders and Democratic nominee Scott McAdams has been rife with drama and unpredictability that continues to rage going into decision day.

According to a survey released by Public Policy Polling on Sunday night, Miller is currently running ahead of the pack, locking-up 37 percent voter support. Murkowski and McAdams both boast 30 percent of the state's vote, the poll shows. A closer look at the numbers highlights the unusual factors at play in the election scenario.

News of Miller's lead comes on the heels of the candidate finding himself embroiled in a firestorm of controversy surrounding ethics violations he made in 2008 while working as a government attorney. It recently came to light that the GOP hopeful himself admitted to lying about his involvement in the matter at the time. In this context, it should perhaps come as no surprise that while Miller heads into election day maintaining frontrunner status, the Senate contender is looked upon unfavorably by majority of the Alaska electorate, according to the PPP poll. Among the candidates, it is McAdams, likely the least well known of the three, who is viewed the most favorably by voters in the Last Frontier.

"This race has been so unpredictable I wouldn't write off any of the candidates yet," explained Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "Joe Miller certainly looks like the favorite but the biggest surprise in Alaska this year would be if there wasn't a surprise."

An excerpt of analysis from PPP:

It appears that Murkowski will lose this race. There are 2 main reasons for that. The first is that she retained little goodwill from Republicans after deciding to make an independent bid. Only 27% of GOP voters are planning to vote for her on Tuesday, down from 31% from a PPP poll earlier in October. The second reason Murkowski's headed for a loss is that she failed to dominate with independents. She is slightly ahead with them, getting 34% to 32% for McAdams and 31% for Miller. But they're not providing her with a strong base of support the way Democrats are for McAdams and Republicans for Miller.

The grim outlook for Murkowski painted by the latest numbers out on the Alaska race perhaps explains buzz resurfacing about the prospect of the incumbent lawmaker pulling a party-switch to caucus with Democrats in the event she manages to pull off a win in her reelection bid. The speculation comes despite the fact that Murkowski recently signaled that the possibility of jumping ship from the GOP was off the table.

Here's what Murkowski herself said when asked about the caucus issue in an interview with Time magazine:

If you win, would you consider caucusing with the Democrats?Story continues below blockquote .mid_article_ad_label{border:1px solid #dddddd;}Advertisement
No. I'm a Republican. I'm running as a write-in Republican candidate. So, I'm not my party's nominee. Does that give me a little more flexibility and independence? Perhaps, yes...

A spokesman for Murkowki's campaign reaffirmed to the Associated Press on Monday that Murkowski's position on the matter remains unchanged.

So, what can Tuesday's Senate election in Alaska be expected to produce at the end of the day? Just one day before the culmination of the race, Democrats find themselves bestowed with an unexpected opportunity to pick-up a GOP seat in the upper congressional chamber, while Republicans have before them two candidates whose hypothetical wins would allow them to keep the seat; however, there is still cause for concern with the intense scrutiny that has become fixated on Miller's campaign and the dwindling odds faced by Murkowski. The bottom line: anything can happen.

The New York Times reports how the unusual nature of the three-way race could leave the unpredictability lingering beyond ballots are cast in Alaska on election day:

The wrinkles of a write-in campaign in an Alaskan election could mean it takes weeks before anyone knows whether Senator Lisa Murkowski pulled off a political miracle.
Then again, the race could be called on election night. Or it could end up in court, making the long Arctic winter seem even longer.

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Elections 2010 Lisa Murkowski Joe MillerAlaska's three-way Senate fight has quickly become one of the hottest showdowns to watch of the races set to be decided on Tuesday. Since the state's August primary when Tea Party-backed Joe Miller sw...Alaska's three-way Senate fight has quickly become one of the hottest showdowns to watch of the races set to be decided on Tuesday. Since the state's August primary when Tea Party-backed Joe Miller sw... Related News On Huffington Post:
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DrObvious 03:39 PM on 11/01/2010 908 Fans Let's hope for quick resolution of the election winner in Alaska.

It was not a good time in Minnesota when the 2008 race for the Senate seat wasn't decided until June 2009 through a state supreme court decision. The partisan sniping was extensive and malicious, especially by Republicans, who decided they only trust elections that they win apparently.

So let's hope Read More... Alaskans have a clear choice, don't have to go through what Minnesota did. DrObvious: Let's hope for quick resolution of the election winner in http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/DrObvious/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_65802881.html View Thread | Share it 65802881

truthisneeded 05:08 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/10/27/102700/alaska-judges-order-deals-blow.html

Calling it a "clear violation of Alaska administrative regulation," a judge on Wednesday ordered the state Division of Elections to remove a list of certified write-in candidates from polling places statewide..
The state Division of Elections has been providing early voters who ask for assistance a list of all write-in candidates, and in one case, had actually posted the list at an early-voting location in Homer. The Division had argued that they drew up the list because they anticipated an unusual number of questions about Sen. Lisa Murkowski's write-in bid. The Alaska Democratic Party sued the state, asking for them to drop the list at polling places, and the Alaska Republican Party joined the suit.

Both political parties said the lists, which have been distributed to polling places statewide, are a considerable change in the state's previous write-in practices. It directly violated a state regulation that forbids allowing any information about write-in candidates at the polling place or within 200 feet of its entrance, the judge noted

Democratic Party please stop helping Miller ***now***!

http://scottmcadams.org/home/ truthisneeded: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/10/27/102700/alaska-judges-order-deals-blow.html Calling it a "clear violation of Alaska administrative regulation," http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66029039.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 05:00 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Mentioned this somewhere else on the Post but it may add to this thread as well

Miller, who is running to be elected Senator of Alaska,

is a Veteran and went to Yale Law School;

Miller makes all the great Veterans of this country and great Yale graduates look very bad

(although there was another Yale grad and Veteran, George W. Bush but he is another exception)

Miller likes to lie, cheat, cover up, and attack freedom of speech and freedom of the press by arresting journalist truthisneeded: Mentioned this somewhere else on the Post but it may http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66028762.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 04:41 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Washington Post, 82% of precincts reporting

Murkowski (technically total write-in) 40 percent, Miller 35 percent, McAdams 24 percent truthisneeded: Washington Post, 82% of precincts reporting Murkowski (technically total write-in) http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66028063.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 04:33 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans http://www.scottmcadams.org/home/ truthisneeded: http://www.scottmcadams.org/home/ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66027738.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 04:27 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Look at McAdams picture, and I dont mean this in an offensive way, does the Democratic party really believe that someone with McAdams looks is going to get elected as Senator of Alaska?

http://www.scottmcadams.org/home/

Even though McAdams may be a great candidate he is not going to win with his image; sorry

No wonder that no national media outlet ever showed his face

Again, I am not trying to be disrespectful just pragmatic

If the Democratic party wants to win; it has to be prepared and aggressive or the Republicans will walk all over the Democrats

Miller may win, thanks to the help of the inept Democratic machine.

I hope that the Democratic party realizes that they are really doing the best to help Miller win and Palin's pal; that is unacceptable

McAdams may be an amazing candidate; but the picture on his website is very unprofessional.

http://www.scottmcadams.org/home/

A Senator is a leader; the picture makes him look like a comedian or I don't know what but definitely not a serious Senator. So the picture was wrong

(I also personally am not that fond of his mustache, but that's personal preference)

Also, I have been following the Alaska race for a month now, somehow closely, and I have never seen a picture of McAdams until today, no articles in the national press written about him; so his PR team was very bad

Democratic Party please get your act together ASAP. Thank you. truthisneeded: Look at McAdams picture, and I dont mean this in http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66027508.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 04:02 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans I hope that the McAdams campaign will do what is best for Alaska and for the country truthisneeded: I hope that the McAdams campaign will do what is http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66026342.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 03:55 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Washington Post, 71% of precincts reporting

Murkowski (technically total write-in) 39 percent, Miller 36 percent, McAdams 25 percent

Any Alaskan Democrat who will vote for McAdams will help Miller, not McAdams

McAdams unfortunately has no chance of getting elected now (71% of precincts reporting) truthisneeded: Washington Post, 71% of precincts reporting Murkowski (technically total write-in) http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66025963.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 03:51 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans If Murkowski wins Alaska, Palin is going to have a nervous breakdown truthisneeded: If Murkowski wins Alaska, Palin is going to have a http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66025751.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:36 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans People ask for real alternatives to the corruption in all parties

After being rejected from the Republican party establishment (51% to 49%), Lisa was rejected also by the Libertarian party.

Following the outcome of the primary election, the Murkowski campaign floated the idea of her running as a Libertarian if Miller defeated Murkowski in the Republican primary. But on August 29, 2010, the executive board of the state Libertarian Party voted against Murkowski on its ticket.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisa_Murkowski

On September 17, 2010, Murkowski declared that she will mount a write-in campaign for the Senate seat. A true American. truthisneeded: People ask for real alternatives to the corruption in all http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66020675.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:31 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans By the way the data in this article is wrong

I see current polls showing Murkowski ahead of Miller by a very slight margin truthisneeded: By the way the data in this article is wrong http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66020301.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:45 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-results-2010/#/senate/

Washington Post, 51% of precincts reporting
Murkowski 39 percent, Miller 35 percent, McAdams 25 percent truthisneeded: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-results-2010/#/senate/ Washington Post, 51% of precincts reporting Murkowski 39 percent, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66021427.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:47 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-results-2010/ truthisneeded: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-results-2010/ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66021578.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 03:04 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans with 51 percent of precincts reporting and Mc Adams at 25 percent. there is no way that Mc Adams can win

So if Alaskan Democrats want to see Miller win they can vote Mc Adams
But if Alaskan Democrats agree with me, that Miller's undemocratic positions will hurt Alaska and the country, then vote for Murkowski and make sure that Miller not win.

Any vote for Murkowski is a vote against Miller and Murkowski is great too, but thats irrelevant, the real issue here is that Miller is dangerous for Alaska and the USA and need not be elected.

Miller lies and cheats and tries to cover things up. Alaska deserves better.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/roughsketch/2010/10/what_is_wrong_with_joe_miller.html

Miller makes all the great Veterans of the USA look bad

And Palin and Miller are close pals...

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/10/e-mails_indicate_palin-joe_mil.html

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/10/joe_miller_really_doesnt_want.html truthisneeded: with 51 percent of precincts reporting and Mc Adams at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66022872.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:29 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Palin's recent story about CBS is most likely a fabrication. Palin is twisting events to make them look like what they are not. Palin has demonstrated in the past that her comments are not trustworthy.

There is a couple of likely scenarios

a) more likely option; the two reporters were just making jokes about Miller or the republican party; the same way on here we joke all the time about Palin and company

b) less likely option but still possible given the experience with Miller's lies and cover ups; the whole CBS discussion was organized from friends of Miller/Palin so that Palin could come out with some sort of story on the national media. Nothing surprises me about Palin and Miller. Miller just got caught lying and cheating.

Also there are questions about the legality and ethics of recording phone conversations with journalists

Dont forget that in California the Republican party used a similar strategy when they "caught on tape" a Jerry Brown staffer who also did not hang up the phone.

What a strange coincidence.

The Brown volunteer could have very well be paid by Meg Whitman's campaign and the CBS journalist story may very well be another Republican set up.

The bottom line and the real story is that Murkowski is likely to be elected Senator and Palin is going crazy about it. truthisneeded: Palin's recent story about CBS is most likely a fabrication. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66020156.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:51 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/11/sarah_palin_believes_in_evolut.html

Yes Palin, Murkowski is a woman but you try and discredit her because of your lies and agenda. big Palin hypocrite and cheat truthisneeded: http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/11/sarah_palin_believes_in_evolut.html Yes Palin, Murkowski is a woman but you try http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66021935.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 02:17 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Sarah Palin is scary and if Saran Palin is no friend of Murkowski, that automatically makes me a friend of Murkowski, plus Murkowski is running as independent and given the corruption in both Republican and Democratic parties thats very cool.

Murkowski is smart to say that she is a Republican, because Alaska is a Republican state today. But she also says that she has independence and flexibility; that means that she will be there for the Alaskan people and evaluate issues one by one using her good judgment.

Alaska is a very important and strategic state because of its oil.

It is imperative that Miller not win. truthisneeded: Sarah Palin is scary and if Saran Palin is no http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66019081.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 01:39 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Lisa Murkowski is the only woman ever elected to Congress from Alaksa.

She is first senator born in Alaska

The Alaska's race has important consequences for America.

Murkowski is running as a write-in candidate. A write-in candidate is a candidate in an election whose name does not appear on the ballot, but for whom voters may vote nonetheless by writing in the person's name.

In 1928, Herbert Hoover won the Republican Massachusetts presidential primary on write-ins, polling 100,279.

In 1940, Franklin D. Roosevelt won the Democratic New Jersey presidential primary with 34,278 write-ins.

In 1944, Thomas Dewey won the Republican Pennsylvania presidential primary with 146,706 write-ins. He also won the Oregon

During the 2000 United States Congress Elections, Michael Moore complained about lousy choices on the ballot and led a campaign for voters to submit a ficus tree as a write-in candidate. Watch:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqa_bhwA-1E

I am not saying that McAdams is a lousy candidate but Alaska is strongly Republican so chances of McAdams being elected are very slim. I hope that Alaska can surprise the extremists like Palin and Miller (who likes to go around arresting journalists) in the Republican party and elect a moderate like Murkowski who will deal with issues without worrying about party affiliation.

If half of the Democrats or a few vote for Murkowski there is no way that Miller will win. truthisneeded: Lisa Murkowski is the only woman ever elected to Congress http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66014873.html Permalink | Share it

truthisneeded 01:16 AM on 11/03/2010 265 Fans Lisa Murkowski is a proven candidate who despite being mistreated by her former party, the Republican party and humiliated by Palin and Miller has the courage and strength to stand for the people of Alaska and for Americans.

Despite all the lies and propaganda from Palin and Miller and the Republican party, Murkowski is making history as a write-in candidate.

Murkowski is going to win, she is already ahead but she needs Democrats' votes. If you vote McAdams, you are only helping Miller

And Miller has demonstrated with his lies, cover ups and abuse of the press that he is not worthy of representing Alaskans

Murkowski is a moderate and a strong woman who fights for the people of Alaska and for Americans. truthisneeded: Lisa Murkowski is a proven candidate who despite being mistreated http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/truthisneeded/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_66011781.html Permalink | Share it

time2impeach 04:57 PM on 11/02/2010 167 Fans It's the God's honest truth -- Anything CAN happen in (or come from) Alaska... time2impeach: It's the God's honest truth -- Anything CAN happen in http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/time2impeach/alaska-senate-race-2010-t_n_776885_65943018.html Permalink | Share it Page: 1 2 3 4 5 Next › Last » (13 total) New comments on this entry — Click to refresh

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